UEFA Conference League

Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Jul 18, 2024 at 8pm UK

Olimpijski Stadion Asim Ferhatovic Hase

Sarajevo
2 - 3
Aktobe

(3-3 on aggregate)

Guliashvili (57'), Oliveira (96')
Dordevic (52'), Rockov (73'), Durickovic (79'), Soldo (120+2')

FT
(aet)

Umaev (41'), Tanzharikov (75'), Hestefano Jean (93')
Cevallos (26'), Umaev (44'), Vatajelu (116'), Umaniyazov (120+3')

Sarajevo win 4-3 on penalties

Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Sarajevo and Aktobe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sarajevo

Last Game: Aktobe 0-1 Sarajevo
Thursday, July 11 at 4pm in Europa Conference League

Aktobe

Last Game: Aktobe 0-1 Sarajevo
Thursday, July 11 at 4pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarajevo win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Aktobe had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarajevo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Aktobe win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%).

Result
Sarajevo	Draw	Aktobe
40.59% ( 0.19)	26.15% ( 0.08)	33.26% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 53.25% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.78% (

-0.39)

51.21% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.95% (

-0.34)

73.05% (

0.35)

Sarajevo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.12% (

-0.08)

24.88% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.51% (

-0.11)

59.49% (

0.11)

Aktobe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.88% (

-0.37)

29.11% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.96% (

-0.45)

65.04% (

0.45)

Score Analysis

Sarajevo 40.58%

Aktobe 33.26%

Draw 26.14%

Sarajevo	Draw	Aktobe
1-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 40.58%	1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.14%	0-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.55% Total : 33.26%