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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 11, 2024 at 4pm UK
Ortaliq Stadion

Aktobe
0 - 1
Sarajevo


Bessmertny (65'), Tanzharikov (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kyeremeh (90')
Mustafic (24'), Andusic (30'), Soldo (55'), Beganovic (78'), Rogic (90'), Kyeremeh (90+1')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Aktobe and Sarajevo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aktobe

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Aktobe 0-1 Sepsi
Thursday, August 17 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Sarajevo

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Sarajevo 1-1 Torpedo (2-4 pen.)
Thursday, July 20 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aktobe win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Sarajevo had a probability of 36.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aktobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Sarajevo win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
AktobeDrawSarajevo
37.49% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)26.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)36.37% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.75% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.21% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)50.78% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.32% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02)72.68% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Aktobe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.64% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)26.36% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.49% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)61.51% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Sarajevo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.99% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)27.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.64% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)62.36% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Aktobe 37.49%
    Sarajevo 36.37%
    Draw 26.14%
AktobeDrawSarajevo
1-0 @ 9.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 8.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.33% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.81% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 37.49%
1-1 @ 12.42%
0-0 @ 7.12% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 9.32% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.13% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 6.1% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 36.37%