Premier League Gameweek 16
Dec 15, 2024 7.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 5
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Mateus Fernandes 36' yellowcard
  • goal James Maddison 1'
  • goal Son Heung-min 12'
  • goal Dejan Kulusevski 14'
  • goal Pape Sarr 25'
  • yellowcard Lucas Bergvall 30'
  • goal James Maddison 45'+4'
  • yellowcard James Maddison 50'
  • yellowcard Brennan Johnson 58'

Southampton vs Tottenham Hotspur - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Dec 7, 2024 3.00pm
Aston Villa 1 - 0 Southampton
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Paul Onuachu

Tottenham Hotspur

All competitions
Last game
Dec 8, 2024 4.30pm
Spurs 3 - 4 Chelsea
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Brennan Johnson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 50.93%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.28%) and 0-2 (5.21%). The likeliest Southampton win was 2-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result

Southampton 28.69% (-0.28)
Draw 20.38% (+0.26)
Tottenham Hotspur 50.93% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

71.73% (-1.24)

Goals

Over 2.5 73.88% (-1.49)
Under 2.5 26.11% (+1.48)
Over 3.5 53.64% (-1.93)
Under 3.5 46.36% (+1.93)
Over 4.5 34.16% (-1.88)
Under 4.5 65.84% (+1.88)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 80.56% (-0.93)
Under 0.5 19.43% (+0.92)
Over 1.5 48.72% (-1.54)
Under 1.5 51.27% (+1.53)

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5 89.03% (-0.52)
Under 0.5 10.96% (+0.51)
Over 1.5 64.8% (-1.15)
Under 1.5 35.2% (+1.14)

Score analysis

Southampton 28.69%
Draw 20.38%
Tottenham Hotspur 50.93%
Southampton
2-1 @ 6.32% (+0.11)
3-2 @ 3.81% (-0.14)
1-0 @ 3.49% (+0.23)
3-1 @ 3.45% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 2.86% (+0.11)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.11)
3-0 @ 1.56% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.07)
4-3 @ 1.15% (-0.11)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 28.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.72% (+0.35)
2-2 @ 6.99% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 2.81% (-0.17)
0-0 @ 2.13% (+0.20)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 20.38%
Tottenham Hotspur
1-2 @ 8.53% (+0.21)
1-3 @ 6.28% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.21% (+0.28)
2-3 @ 5.15% (-0.14)
0-1 @ 4.71% (+0.34)
0-3 @ 3.84% (+0.13)
1-4 @ 3.47% (-0.07)
2-4 @ 2.85% (-0.14)
0-4 @ 2.12% (+0.03)
3-4 @ 1.55% (-0.13)
1-5 @ 1.54% (-0.07)
2-5 @ 1.26% (-0.09)
Other @ 4.43%
Total : 50.93%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 28
Mar 18, 2023 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Che Adams 46' goal
  • Theo Walcott 77' goal
  • James Ward-Prowse 90'+3' goal
  • goal Pedro Porro 45'+1'
  • goal Harry Kane 65'
  • goal Ivan Perisic 74'
Premier League Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
  • Ryan Sessegnon 21' goal
  • Ryan Sessegnon 24' yellowcard
  • Eric Dier 31' goal
  • Mohammed Salisu 60' goal
  • Mohammed Salisu 61' goal
  • Dejan Kulusevski 63' goal
  • Rodrigo Bentancur 75' yellowcard
  • Yves Bissouma 88' yellowcard
  • goal James Ward-Prowse 12'
Premier League Gameweek 24
Feb 9, 2022 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jan Bednarek 18' goal
  • Davinson Sanchez 59' yellowcard
  • Son Heung-min 70' goal
  • Cristian Romero 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Armando Broja 23'
  • yellowcard Romain Perraud 76'
  • yellowcard Oriol Romeu 77'
  • goal Mohamed Elyounoussi 79'
  • goal Che Adams 82'
  • yellowcard Fraser Forster 84'
Premier League Gameweek 20
Dec 28, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Kyle Walker-Peters 13' yellowcard
  • James Ward-Prowse 25' goal
  • Mohammed Salisu 27' yellowcard
  • Ralph Hasenhuttl 30' yellowcard
  • Mohammed Salisu 39' redcard
  • Adam Armstrong 51' yellowcard
  • goal Harry Kane 41'
  • yellowcard Sergio Reguilon 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Harry Winks 69'
Premier League Gameweek 29
Apr 21, 2021 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Tanguy Ndombele 43' yellowcard
  • Gareth Bale 60' goal
  • Son Heung-min 90' goal
  • Eric Dier 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Danny Ings 30'
  • yellowcard Moussa Djenepo 87'
Premier League Gameweek 2
Sep 20, 2020 12.00pm
2
5
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Oriol Romeu 5' yellowcard
  • Danny Ings 32' goal
  • Che Adams 39' yellowcard
  • Ryan Bertrand 44' yellowcard
  • Jack Stephens 68' yellowcard
  • Danny Ings 90' goal
  • yellowcard Tanguy Ndombele 45'+1'
  • goal Son Heung-min 45'+2'
  • goal Son Heung-min 47'
  • goal Son Heung-min 64'
  • goal Son Heung-min 73'
  • yellowcard Matt Doherty 79'
  • goal Harry Kane 82'
  • yellowcard Giovani Lo Celso 90'+3'

Build-up

Feature
Predicted Lineups