Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.27%. A win for Slovan Bratislava had a probability of 22.44% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8%) and 0-1 (7.86%). The likeliest Slovan Bratislava win was 2-1 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.