Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarajevo win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Aktobe had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarajevo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Aktobe win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%).