Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen's Park would win this match.