Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 50.15%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 23.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.