Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 69.1%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Puszcza Niepolomice had a probability of 11.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Puszcza Niepolomice win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.