Conference League
Nov 28, 2024 5.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Apostolos Nikolaidis
  • Joona Toivio 33' goal
  • Fotis Ioannidis 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lee Erwin 85'

Panathinaikos vs HJK Helsinki - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Panathinaikos

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Nov 7, 2024 8.00pm
Djurgarden 2 - 1 Panathinaikos

HJK Helsinki

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Nov 7, 2024 5.45pm
HJK Helsinki 0 - 2 Ljubljana

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 56.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 21.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a HJK Helsinki win it was 1-2 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.

Result

Panathinaikos 56.03% (-0.05)
Draw 22.26% (-0.02)
HJK Helsinki 21.71% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.77% (+0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.72% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 42.28% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 35.31% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 64.68% (-0.13)
Over 4.5 18.5% (+0.10)
Under 4.5 81.5% (-0.10)

Panathinaikos Goals

Over 0.5 85.05% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 14.94% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 56.65% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 43.35% (-0.06)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5 66.74% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 33.26% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 30.13% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 69.87% (-0.14)

Score analysis

Panathinaikos 56.03%
Draw 22.26%
HJK Helsinki 21.71%
Panathinaikos
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.45% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 8.98% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.26% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.69% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.45% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.98% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.7% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.64% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.13% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 56.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.4% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.44% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.97% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.27% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.26%
HJK Helsinki
1-2 @ 5.73% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 5.47% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.01% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.1% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.11% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 21.71%