Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 49.25%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.