Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Jahn Regensburg win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 8-3 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nuremberg would win this match.