Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 49.45%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 2-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.