Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-21s win with a probability of 59.14%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 22.54% and a draw had a probability of 18.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.07%) and 2-3 (5.54%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United Under-21s would win this match.