Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Domzale win with a probability of 40.52%. A win for Nafta had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Domzale win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Nafta win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.