Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Motherwell in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Motherwell.