Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.