CAF Champions League
Sep 21, 2024 5.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium
  • Kobamelo Kodisang 42' goal
  • Malibongwe Prince Khoza 60' goal
  • Thembinkosi Lorch 63' goal
  • Sphelele Mkhulise 67' goal

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Mbabane Swallows - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mamelodi Sundowns

All competitions
CAF Champions League
Last game
Sep 14, 2024 7.00pm
Mbabane Swallows 0 - 4 Mamelodi Sundowns

Mbabane Swallows

All competitions
CAF Champions League
Last game
Sep 14, 2024 7.00pm
Mbabane Swallows 0 - 4 Mamelodi Sundowns

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mamelodi Sundowns win with a probability of 92.97%. A draw had a probability of 5.4% and a win for Mbabane Swallows had a probability of 1.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mamelodi Sundowns win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (12.81%) and 2-0 (11.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.56%), while for a Mbabane Swallows win it was 0-1 (0.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mamelodi Sundowns would win this match.

Result

Mamelodi Sundowns 92.97% (-0.01)
Draw 5.41%
Mbabane Swallows 1.62% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

32.5% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 77.04% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 22.95% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 57.8% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 42.2% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 38.27% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 61.73% (-0.07)

Mamelodi Sundowns Goals

Over 0.5 97.41% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 2.59% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 87.94% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 12.05% (-0.03)

Mbabane Swallows Goals

Over 0.5 33.36% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 66.63% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 6.31% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 93.68% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Mamelodi Sundowns 92.95%
Draw 5.41%
Mbabane Swallows 1.62%
Mamelodi Sundowns
3-0 @ 14.02% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 12.81% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 11.51% (-0.03)
5-0 @ 9.36% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.31% (-0.02)
6-0 @ 5.7% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.7% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 5.2% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 4.68% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 3.8% (+0.01)
7-0 @ 2.98% (+0.01)
6-1 @ 2.31% (+0.01)
8-0 @ 1.36% (+0.01)
7-1 @ 1.21% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.16% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.06% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 92.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 2.56% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 1.73% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 5.41%
Mbabane Swallows
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 1.62%

Head to Head

CAF Champions League
Sep 14, 2024 7.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium
  • Kwakhe Thwala 17' yellowcard
  • Leon Manyisa 45'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Ribeiro Costa 3'
  • goal Mosa Lebusa 17'
  • goal Iqraam Rayners 39'
  • goal Lucas Ribeiro Costa 54'