Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 51.7%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 25.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%).