Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 60.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 18.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Lincoln Red Imps win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.