Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 46.22%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 24.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.