Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.