Scottish Premiership Gameweek 37
May 15, 2024 7.30pm
0
5
HT : 0 3
FT Rugby Park
  • Liam Donnelly 30' yellowcard
  • Robbie Deas 49' yellowcard
  • goal Adam Idah 5'
  • goal Daizen Maeda 12'
  • goal James Forrest 35'
  • goal Matt O'Riley 51'
  • goal Matt O'Riley 71'

Kilmarnock vs Celtic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 11, 2024 3.00pm
St Mirren 0 - 1 Kilmarnock
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Marley Watkins

Celtic

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 11, 2024 12.30pm
Celtic 2 - 1 Rangers
Goals scored
95
Top scorer
Matt O'Riley

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 64.3%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 15.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.97%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 1-0 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result

Kilmarnock 15.77% (-0.01)
Draw 19.93% (+0.01)
Celtic 64.3% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.6% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.88% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 41.12% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 36.48% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 63.52% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 19.39% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 80.61% (+0.04)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 60.97% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 39.03% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 24.25% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 75.75% (+0.04)

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5 87.91% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 12.09% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 62.37% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 37.63% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Kilmarnock 15.78%
Draw 19.93%
Celtic 64.3%
Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 4.44% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 4.41% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 2.09%
3-2 @ 1.46% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.38% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 15.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.38% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.72% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.93%
Celtic
0-2 @ 10.53% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 9.97% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.91%
0-3 @ 7.42% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 6.98% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 3.92%
1-4 @ 3.69% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.28% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.73% (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.66% (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.56% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 64.3%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 26
Feb 17, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Celtic Park
  • Kyogo Furuhashi 32' goal
  • yellowcard Liam Donnelly 21'
  • yellowcard Lewis Mayo 38'
  • yellowcard Danny Armstrong 73'
  • goal David Watson 90'+2'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 17
Dec 10, 2023 12.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Rugby Park
  • Bradley Lyons 41' yellowcard
  • Robbie Deas 69' yellowcard
  • Nat Phillips 75' goal
  • Danny Armstrong 79' yellowcard
  • Matty Kennedy 87' goal
  • goal Matt O'Riley 33'
  • yellowcard Alistair Johnston 83'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 8
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Celtic Park
  • Reo Hatate 22' goal
  • Luis Palma 33' goal
  • Greg Taylor 68' yellowcard
  • Liam Scales 76' yellowcard
  • Greg Taylor 82' goal
  • yellowcard Lewis Mayo 28'
  • goal David Watson 72'
  • yellowcard Kyle Vassell 76'
Scottish League Cup
Aug 20, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Marley Watkins 52' yellowcard
  • Marley Watkins 59' goal
  • Stuart Findlay 67' yellowcard
  • David Watson 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Callum McGregor 50'
  • yellowcard Anthony Ralston 68'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 32
Apr 16, 2023 12.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 4
FT
  • Liam Donnelly 45' goal
  • goal Kyogo Furuhashi 7'
  • goal Daizen Maeda 12'
  • goal Matt O'Riley 18'
  • goal Matt O'Riley 27'
Scottish League Cup
Jan 14, 2023 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Celtic Park
  • Daizen Maeda 18' goal
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 90'+5' goal