Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karpaty Lviv win with a probability of 56.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 19.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karpaty Lviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Karpaty Lviv would win this match.