Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 64.19%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 17.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.64%) and 1-3 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.65%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 2-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.