Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ironi Kiryat Shmona win with a probability of 45.87%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Ironi Tiberias had a probability of 26.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ironi Kiryat Shmona win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.93%) and 1-2 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Ironi Tiberias win it was 1-0 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.