Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 36.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NK Olimpija Ljubljana would win this match.