Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 39.28%. A draw had a probability of 30.7% and a win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 30.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.02%) and 2-1 (7.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.57%), while for a Godoy Cruz win it was 0-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gimnasia would win this match.