Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 1-0 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Basel in this match.