Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.35%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.