Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.11%) and 0-2 (5.84%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.