Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Farsley Celtic win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.