Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 49%. A win for Larne had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Larne win was 0-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.