Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.