Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.