Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 1-0 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Brescia in this match.