Premier League Gameweek 28
Chelsea
Mar 9, 2025 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stamford Bridge
Leicester
  • Marc Cucurella 60' goal
  • Josh Acheampong 90'+6' yellowcard

Chelsea vs Leicester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2025 8.15pm
Chelsea 4 - 0 Southampton
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Cole Palmer

Leicester City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 27, 2025 8.00pm
West Ham 2 - 0 Leicester
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Jamie Vardy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 85.09%. A draw had a probability of 10% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 4.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 4-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.66%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-2 (1.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result

Chelsea 85.09% ▲ (+0.91)
Draw 10% ▼ (-0.42)
Leicester City 4.91% ▼ (-0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.07% ▼ (-1.96)

Goals

Over 2.5 73.48% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 2.5 26.52% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 3.5 53.12% ▼ (-0.51)
Under 3.5 46.88% ▲ (+0.52)
Over 4.5 33.66% ▼ (-0.49)
Under 4.5 66.34% ▲ (+0.50)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 95.7% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 4.3% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 82.16% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 1.5 17.84% ▼ (-0.23)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5 49.19% ▼ (-2.09)
Under 0.5 50.81% ▲ (+2.09)
Over 1.5 14.79% ▼ (-1.46)
Under 1.5 85.21% ▲ (+1.46)

Score analysis

Chelsea 85.08%
Draw 10%
Leicester City 4.91%
Chelsea
3-0 @ 11.34% ▲ (+0.46)
2-0 @ 10.81% ▲ (+0.39)
4-0 @ 8.92% ▲ (+0.41)
3-1 @ 7.68% ▼ (-0.15)
2-1 @ 7.33% ▼ (-0.18)
1-0 @ 6.88% ▲ (+0.21)
4-1 @ 6.04% ▼ (-0.09)
5-0 @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.29)
5-1 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.04)
6-0 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.17)
3-2 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.22)
4-2 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.16)
6-1 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.01)
7-0 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.09)
5-2 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 4.48%
Total : 85.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.14)
2-2 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.22)
0-0 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 10%
Leicester City
1-2 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.15)
0-1 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 4.91%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 12
Leicester
Nov 23, 2024 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT King Power Stadium
Chelsea
  • Wilfred Ndidi 22' yellowcard
  • Boubakary Soumare 29' yellowcard
  • Oliver Skipp 31' yellowcard
  • Steve Cooper 68' yellowcard
  • Wout Faes 78' yellowcard
  • Jordan Ayew 90'+5' goal
  • goal Nicolas Jackson 15'
  • yellowcard Moises Caicedo 40'
  • yellowcard Robert Sanchez 66'
  • goal Enzo Fernandez 75'
  • yellowcard Romeo Lavia 90'+4'
FA Cup
Chelsea
Mar 17, 2024 12.45pm
4
2
HT : 2 0
FT Stamford Bridge
Leicester
  • Marc Cucurella 13' goal
  • Cole Palmer 45'+1' goal
  • Carney Chukwuemeka 90'+2' goal
  • Noni Madueke 90'+8' goal
  • goal Axel Disasi 51' (OG)
  • goal Stephy Mavididi 62'
  • yellowcard Stephy Mavididi 67'
  • redcard Callum Doyle 73'
  • yellowcard Conor Coady 90'+6'
Premier League Gameweek 27
Leicester
Mar 11, 2023 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
Chelsea
  • Patson Daka 39' goal
  • goal Ben Chilwell 11'
  • goal Kai Havertz 45'+6'
  • goal Mateo Kovacic 78'
Premier League Gameweek 4
Chelsea
Aug 27, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Leicester
  • Conor Gallagher 22' yellowcard
  • Conor Gallagher 28' redcard
  • Raheem Sterling 47' goal
  • Raheem Sterling 63' goal
  • Kai Havertz 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 31'
  • yellowcard Dennis Praet 40'
  • goal Harvey Barnes 66'
Premier League Gameweek 27
Chelsea
May 19, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Leicester
  • Marcos Alonso 34' goal
  • N'Golo Kante 47' yellowcard
  • Romelu Lukaku 59' yellowcard
  • Antonio Rudiger 66' yellowcard
  • Jorginho 85' yellowcard
  • goal James Maddison 6'
  • yellowcard Jonny Evans 64'
Premier League Gameweek 12
Leicester
Nov 20, 2021 12.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
Chelsea
  • Daniel Amartey 40' yellowcard
  • Jonny Evans 45' yellowcard
  • Kasper Schmeichel 45' yellowcard
  • goal Antonio Rudiger 14'
  • goal N'Golo Kante 28'
  • yellowcard Edouard Mendy 65'
  • goal Christian Pulisic 71'

Form Data

Copenhagen 1 - 2 Chelsea
Chelsea 4 - 0 Southampton
Aston Villa 2 - 1 Chelsea
Brighton 3 - 0 Chelsea
Brighton 2 - 1 Chelsea
Chelsea 2 - 1 West Ham
West Ham 2 - 0 Leicester
Leicester 0 - 4 Brentford
Leicester 0 - 2 Arsenal
Man Utd 2 - 1 Leicester
Everton 4 - 0 Leicester
Spurs 1 - 2 Leicester

Build-up

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Predicted Lineups