Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Brentford win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.