Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Malmo win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Besiktas in this match.