Swiss Super League
Gameweek
22
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-
Xherdan Shaqiri
4'
-
Leon Avdullahu
51'
-
Xherdan Shaqiri
57'
-
Joe Mendes
89'
-
Romario Baro
90'+3'
-
Levin Winkler
1'
-
Stefan Knezevic
58'
-
Jakub Kadak
81'
-
Andrejs Cigaņiks
90'+4'
Basel vs Luzern - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 52.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Luzern had a probability of 23.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Luzern win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.
Result
Basel
52.64%
▼
(-0.52)
Draw
23.74%
▲
(+0.09)
Luzern
23.61%
▲
(+0.44)
Both Teams to Score:
54.31%
▲
(+0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.28%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 2.5
46.71%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 3.5
31.02%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 3.5
68.98%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 4.5
15.38%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 4.5
84.61%
▼
(-0.06)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5
82.28%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 0.5
17.71%
▲
(+0.17)
Over 1.5
51.63%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 1.5
48.37%
▲
(+0.28)
Luzern Goals
Over 0.5
65.99%
▲
(+0.44)
Under 0.5
34%
▼
(-0.44)
Over 1.5
29.32%
▲
(+0.47)
Under 1.5
70.68%
▼
(-0.47)
Score analysis
Basel
52.64%
Draw
23.74%
Luzern
23.61%
Basel
1-0
@
10.42%
▼
(-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.73% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 9.02% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 5.21% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 52.64%
2-1 @ 9.73% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 9.02% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 5.21% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 52.64%
Draw
1-1
@
11.24%
▲
(+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.02% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.74%
0-0 @ 6.02% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.74%
Luzern
0-1
@
6.5%
▲
(+0.06)
1-2 @ 6.07% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 23.61%
1-2 @ 6.07% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 23.61%