Serie B Gameweek 16
Dec 7, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Comunale San Nicola
  • Mehdi Dorval 33' goal
  • Valerio Mantovani 67' yellowcard
  • Ahmed Benali 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Simone Bastoni 49'
  • yellowcard Emanuele Adamo 53'
  • yellowcard Augustus Kargbo 67'
  • yellowcard Giacomo Calo 72'

Bari vs Cesena - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bari

All competitions
Last game
Nov 30, 2024 2.00pm
Brescia 1 - 1 Bari
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Kevin Lasagna

Cesena

All competitions
Last game
Dec 1, 2024 2.00pm
Frosinone 3 - 2 Cesena
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Cristian Shpendi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Cesena had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Cesena win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bari in this match.

Result

Bari 41.56% (-0.19)
Draw 28.23% (+0.07)
Cesena 30.2% (+0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.96% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.01% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 59.99% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 19.77% (-0.16)
Under 3.5 80.23% (+0.16)
Over 4.5 8.2% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 91.79% (+0.09)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5 71.57% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 28.43% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 35.81% (-0.26)
Under 1.5 64.19% (+0.26)

Cesena Goals

Over 0.5 64.22% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 35.78% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 27.45% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 72.55% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Bari 41.56%
Draw 28.22%
Cesena 30.2%
Bari
1-0 @ 12.79% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.27% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 8.05% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.47% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.37% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 41.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.14% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 10.17% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.22%
Cesena
0-1 @ 10.45% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 6.76% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.37% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.32% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.84% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 30.2%

Head to Head

Serie B
Jan 20, 2018 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Karim Laribi 13' goal
  • Tomasz Kupisz 32' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luca Marrone 19'
  • goal Emanuele Suagher 50' (OG)
  • yellowcard Libor Kozak 69'
  • yellowcard Andres Tello 76'
Serie B
Aug 28, 2017 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Riccardo Improta 38' goal
  • Elio Capradossi 39' yellowcard
  • Cristian Galano 59' goal
  • Denis Tonucci 68' goal
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Cascione 55'
  • yellowcard Giuseppe Panico 85'