/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fazlog.png)
-
Ruben van Bommel
44'
-
Ruben van Bommel
50'
-
Troy Parrott
74'
-
Sven Mijnans
80'
-
Kristijan Belic
90'+3'
-
Ahmed Qasem
10'
-
Timothy Ouma
23'
-
Simon Hedlund
53'
-
Timothy Ouma
59'
-
Jalal Abdulai
83'
-
Sebastian Holmen
86'
AZ Alkmaar vs Elfsborg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F37%2Faz-alkmaar.png)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 57.56%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 21.44% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 1-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 1-2 (5.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result
AZ Alkmaar
57.56%
▲
(+0.07)
Draw
21%
▼
(-0.02)
Elfsborg
21.44%
▼
(-0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
60.81%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
63.23%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 2.5
36.77%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 3.5
41.07%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 3.5
58.94%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 4.5
23%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 4.5
77%
▼
(-0.03)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5
87.36%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
12.64%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
61.21%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
38.79%
▼
(-0.06)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5
69.61%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
30.39%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
33.42%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
66.59%
▲
(+0.03)
Score analysis
AZ Alkmaar
57.56%
Draw
21%
Elfsborg
21.44%
AZ Alkmaar
2-1
@
9.79%
2-0 @ 8.22% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.95% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.75% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 57.56%
2-0 @ 8.22% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.95% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.75% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 57.56%
Draw
1-1
@
9.46%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.83% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21%
2-2 @ 5.83% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21%
Elfsborg
1-2
@
5.64%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.58% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 21.44%
0-1 @ 4.58% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 21.44%