Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 43.52%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.