Conference League
Oct 3, 2024 5.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Astana Arena
  • Kipras Kazukolovas 15' goal
  • Ramazan Karimov 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stefan Jovanovic 7'
  • yellowcard Milan Radin 39'

Astana vs Backa Topola - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Astana

All competitions

Backa Topola

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Astana win with a probability of 43.76%. A win for Backa Topola had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Astana win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Backa Topola win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Astana in this match.

Result

Astana 43.76% (-0.53)
Draw 25.47% (+0.45)
Backa Topola 30.77% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.52% (-1.46)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.85% (-1.92)
Under 2.5 49.15% (+1.91)
Over 3.5 28.78% (-1.76)
Under 3.5 71.22% (+1.75)
Over 4.5 13.84% (-1.21)
Under 4.5 86.16% (+1.21)

Astana Goals

Over 0.5 77.59% (-1.05)
Under 0.5 22.4% (+1.05)
Over 1.5 44.08% (-1.60)
Under 1.5 55.92% (+1.59)

Backa Topola Goals

Over 0.5 70.26% (-0.92)
Under 0.5 29.73% (+0.91)
Over 1.5 34.2% (-1.13)
Under 1.5 65.8% (+1.12)

Score analysis

Astana 43.76%
Draw 25.46%
Backa Topola 30.77%
Astana
1-0 @ 9.97% (+0.47)
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 7.45% (+0.12)
3-1 @ 4.51% (-0.19)
3-0 @ 3.72% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.19)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.13)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.11)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 43.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.08% (+0.26)
0-0 @ 6.66% (+0.51)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.20)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.11)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.46%
Backa Topola
0-1 @ 8.08% (+0.43)
1-2 @ 7.33% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.9% (+0.14)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.14)
0-3 @ 1.98% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 30.77%