Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Genk had a probability of 36.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.