Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Genk had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.43%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.