Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 50.96%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 24.09%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.