Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Riyadh win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for Al Fayha had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Riyadh win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Al Fayha win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.