Saudi Pro League
Gameweek
14
-
Ivan Toney
1'
-
Gabri Veiga
13'
-
Gabri Veiga
23'
-
Saad Yaslam
48'
-
Ali Majrashi
85'
-
Gustavo Cuellar
28'
-
Majed Kanabah
28'
-
Nader Al-Sharari
52'
-
Majed Kanabah
68'
-
Merih Demiral
72'
(OG)
-
Mohammed Al Shwirekh
81'
-
Musab Al-Juwayr
90'+5'
Al-Ahli vs Al Shabab - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.
Result
Al-Ahli
47.47%
▼
(-0.55)
Draw
25.79%
▲
(+0.36)
Al Shabab
26.74%
▲
(+0.20)
Both Teams to Score:
50.96%
▼
(-0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.41%
▼
(-1.30)
Under 2.5
52.59%
▲
(+1.30)
Over 3.5
25.76%
▼
(-1.12)
Under 3.5
74.24%
▲
(+1.12)
Over 4.5
11.84%
▼
(-0.73)
Under 4.5
88.16%
▲
(+0.73)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5
77.84%
▼
(-0.79)
Under 0.5
22.15%
▲
(+0.79)
Over 1.5
44.46%
▼
(-1.19)
Under 1.5
55.54%
▲
(+1.19)
Al Shabab Goals
Over 0.5
65.47%
▼
(-0.54)
Under 0.5
34.53%
▲
(+0.54)
Over 1.5
28.75%
▼
(-0.58)
Under 1.5
71.25%
▲
(+0.58)
Score analysis
Al-Ahli
47.46%
Draw
25.79%
Al Shabab
26.74%
Al-Ahli
1-0
@
11.52%
▲
(+0.31)
2-1 @ 9.24% ▼ (-0.10)
2-0 @ 8.69% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.16)
3-0 @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.13)
4-1 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.11)
4-0 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 47.46%
2-1 @ 9.24% ▼ (-0.10)
2-0 @ 8.69% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.16)
3-0 @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.13)
4-1 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.11)
4-0 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 47.46%
Draw
1-1
@
12.26%
▲
(+0.17)
0-0 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.39)
2-2 @ 4.91% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.79%
0-0 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.39)
2-2 @ 4.91% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.79%
Al Shabab
0-1
@
8.13%
▲
(+0.30)
1-2 @ 6.52% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 26.74%
1-2 @ 6.52% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 26.74%