Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 90.55%. A draw had a probability of 7.1% and a win for Lamia had a probability of 2.37%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.56%) and 4-0 (11.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.35%), while for a Lamia win it was 0-1 (1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for AEK Athens in this match.