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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Southend United win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 29.41% | 27.21% | 43.38% |
| Both teams to score 48.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.37% | 56.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.4% | 77.6% |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.41% | 34.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.69% | 71.31% |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.11% | 25.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.13% | 60.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.51% 2-1 @ 6.82% 2-0 @ 5.05% 3-1 @ 2.41% 3-0 @ 1.79% 3-2 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.21% Total : 29.41% | 1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 8.95% 2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 12.09% 1-2 @ 8.68% 0-2 @ 8.18% 1-3 @ 3.91% 0-3 @ 3.68% 2-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.19% Total : 43.37% |